Study Shows "Do it Yourself" Investing Beats Using a Financial Adviser

11/04/2009 01:08:00 AM / Posted by Soullfire / comments (0)

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Long time readers know my investment philosophy subscribes to the old axiom- "If you want something done right, you have to do it yourself."

At the end of the day, the person who has the most to gain or lose from your investment nest egg is you- not a financial adviser or any other person offering investment help.

Well, a study was done that compared the investment returns of those who used investment advisers and those who didn't, and the results were very interesting. On just the surface view and analysis, those who had a financial adviser manage their assets appeared to have superior performance and lower risk compared to those without an adviser. However it was found that financial advisers are more often paired with older, richer clients rather than younger, less affluent ones. Taking these differences into account results in a different outcome. From the study:

"Once we control for different characteristics of investors using financial advisors, we discover that advisers actually tend to lower returns, raise portfolio risk, increase the probabilities of losses, and increase trading frequency and portfolio turnover relative to what account owners of given characteristics tend to achieve on their own."

Now this makes sense when you think about it. Financial firms are going to give their older, wealthier clients their best financial advisers to keep them from going to another firm. The newer, less experienced/seasoned advisers are more likely to be assigned to smaller accounts that correspond with a younger investor with smaller assets. This results in these accounts being the "training grounds" of newbie/inexperienced financial advisers, with often mediocre or poor returns to show for it.

When it comes to investing talent, not all financial advisers are the same.       

The study concludes:

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Based on the findings, it should not be taken for granted that financial advisers provide their services to small, young investors typically identified as in need of investment guidance. Indeed, the opposite is true. Even if advisors add value to the account, they collect more in fees and commissions than they contribute.
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The bottom line is you are not automatically well served letting someone else manage your money. If you don't want to manage your money, the key is picking a good financial adviser, and to do that, you need to have at least a solid basic understanding of investing yourself. I know it's easy to say we're too busy and to ignore boring things like finance and basic investing skills, but then again, we ALL want to retire early with lots of money- we can't have it both ways.

How to Invest

As a start the easiest thing to do is invest in the index funds like those that follow the S&P 500 or NASDAQ. Your investing will then directly follow the market indexes for better or worse, with no financial adviser needed. From a long term perspective, the market has been historically bullish so it works out.  That would get you started as you learn more about the market and investing. The best time to use a financial adviser is when you are savvy enough about investing to know what you want to do, but don't have the time to do it, so you can give your financial ideas to the adviser and let them execute it for you.

How to Spot a Good Financial Adviser

How can you tell if a financial adviser is good or not? You can ask to see their track record of performance. As a quick check, you can ask them how they fared in the market from 2007 - now. We have seen some turbulent times in the market which serves as a great litmus of the true skill set of the financial adviser in question. Compare their performance to that of the market index funds. If they can't beat the index fund performance, then they aren't adding any value with their management skills, and should be avoided.


Anniversary of the Wall Street Melt Down - Lehman's Failure

9/14/2009 11:07:00 PM / Posted by Soullfire / comments (0)

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Today marks the one year anniversary of Lehman Brothers' failure, the largest bankruptcy in US history, which began the acceleration of the chain of events which led to Wall Street's worst crash since the Great Depression (so far).

At this point we can look around and see if any lessons have been learned by the banks.....

....and the current answer looks like....NO.

We still see the same uber $$$ salary structures in places that reward risk-taking over performance with safety. The surviving banks are now even larger and have an even bigger claim to being "too big to fail". We shouldn't really be shocked at this, since the banks have shown us that they can't be trusted to govern themselves to the point of near suicidal risk taking were it not for the government rescue.

Now the government has begun discussing how to unwind itself from these institutions as well as creating new regulations to keep banks from taking on excessive risk.

Of course the banks don't want any new regulations as that would mean less profits, so they will push back. Expect to see banks start barraging the airwaves with anti-government commercials trying to stop any changes from happening beyond the most superficial.

Their task won't be easy since the effects of their risk taking are still being felt all around, but they will try. I sincerely hope we're smart enough to let let them succeed in keeping the status quo in place.



You Can Lead a Horse to Water.....

4/14/2009 10:01:00 PM / Posted by Soullfire / comments (0)

.....but you can't make them drink.

This is referring to the Roth IRA. It's an awesome investment vehicle that not many really know all the details about. For the occasions that I do take the time out to explain how it works to people, I'm surprised by the number of folks who can afford to put some money in a Roth but choose not to do it.

The Roth basically works in reverse of a traditional IRA or a 401K if you have one. With traditional IRA's and 401K's, the money you contribute is tax deductible so it reduces your reportable income for that year. When you hit retirement age and start taking money out, you will then start paying taxes on that amount. With a Roth, you fund it with after-tax money, so you get no deductions, but all the money and interest/profit you earn will be forever tax free.

The cool part about a Roth account is that you have access to the money you put in at any time without penalty. If you decided you need the money now, you can take out what you put into the Roth with no restrictions. Not so with a traditional IRA or 401K. With those, you are committed to keeping it in the account until you reach retirement age. If you take any money out before then you are hit with big penalties that make it very undesirable to do so. So there's no risk of committing money you might need soon when putting it in a Roth account.

Most banks and brokerages have them and it takes just minutes to open. The deadline for opening/funding a Roth for the 2008 tax year is by April 15, 2009 via electronic funding or sent via snail mail and postmarked by that date.

To qualify to contribute to a Roth, it has to be from earned income, not savings- which means you have to have a job. There are also income restrictions such that if you have a six figure salary, you may not qualify. For those who do qualify, it's a great investment and shouldn't be passed up. Even if the contribution that can be afforded is small, it's better than nothing.

More info:

Link 1

Link 2

Tax Stats Yields Performance and Revelations

3/29/2009 04:05:00 PM / Posted by Soullfire / comments (1)

This year I'm ahead of the time curve and managed to completed my tax calculations for 2008. I paid extra care in making sure I included everything so as to avoid any more unintended "stimulus notes" from the IRS such as my experience last year.

Well comparing the current years return with last year's provides some interesting info for my short term trading account......

In 2007, I traded stocks amounting to $300K in transactions. Note, I said "transactions", not sales, as in I didn't make $300K...although that would have been awesome if I did.   For 2008 my stock transactions went up to over $3 Million - a great than 10X increase.
The explanation for that has to do with the fact that I added more money to my account so I had more liquidity to do extra trades, and I had less overtime at work which allowed me to spend more time focusing on trading.

Now for performance: in 2007 my net return was about 15%, and my goal at that time was to improve on that. Well, 2008 was the year of Wall Street's meltdown so was I able to get a better return? The answer is...my return for 2008 was over 35%!!  Not only that, but it would have been even more had I not taken some big losses in day trading mistakes.

The time I was able to spend indulging in additional trading has painted a clearer picture of where my strengths lie. I now know that I don't really excel at "day trading", as in buying and selling stocks on a minute by minute basis constantly watching the stock chart during the day. In my opinion, it's too close to Vegas style gambling and comes with all the emotional excitement - and emotions are a bad thing when it comes to trading stocks. My biggest losses last year were the result of day trades going from bad to worse. The worse thing is, I look back and can clearly see they were stupid trades from a longer term view. As punishment, I made a "play by play"chart of those big losses so I can always see them and never forget what happens when you make stupid mistakes.

On the other hand, I also now know where I my true strength in trading lies - longer term position trading. This is where you analyze a stock and make a forecast for it's future movement based on current business and market conditions. It typically takes longer for trades to pan out - on the order of weeks to months, so there's no day trading immediate excitement, and in reality that's a good thing. The excitement comes later if your trade performs as expected and results in a good profit.

My goal for this year is to take what I learned from all that trading last year, and apply it to this years trades. It's all about striving to gain the superior skills that come from combining book smarts with actual experience. Even in today's rocky economy, there are a ton of opportunities to make money in this market.


Geithner Reveals Toxic Assets Plan = Bank Bailout Part Upty Ump- Market Sizzles

3/23/2009 11:28:00 PM / Posted by Soullfire / comments (0)

The market held a major rally today on hearing the details on the new plan by Treasury Secretary Geithner to rid banks of their toxic debt.

It's not surprising that Wall Street took off like a rocket....

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The government is shouldering 85% of the debt for private investors that only need to put up 15%. In English, that means we the taxpayer are soaking up the bad debt with a risk 6X greater than the private enterprise that buys into these assets.

So the banks screw things up, and get to unload the vast majority of their crap on the US....which is "us"......nice. I just hope all this extra debt we are taking on doesn't lead to a bigger devil down the road - runaway massive inflation.

Perhaps this couldn't be helped in order to stave off a depression type scenario- but I do know this- I better see the government move to change the way things are run on Wall Street. No company should ever be "too big to fail". Those that are need to be reduced in size starting NOW.

CNBC Still Doesn't Get It - Stop Defending Wall Street over Main Street!

3/16/2009 06:04:00 PM / Posted by Soullfire / comments (0)

I just tuned into CNBC to see a congressman under attack from CNBC anchor Melissa Lee and another person for daring to attempt to tax the profits of AIG's 160 million bonus package they plan on shelling out to thier employees. At least Donny Deutsch was chiming in siding with the congressman.

What galled me most was Melissa's argument when Donny asked her who she was being so averse to Govt taxing those bonuses.

She said it was the governement's fault for giving AIG the money with no strings attached. Her exact words ended with "That's just the way the cookie crumbles...."

In the interest of remaining civil and not spouting a littany of 4 letter expletives, I'll try to keep composed.

It's the goverment's fault for for giving AIG money with no strings attached, and that's just the wau the "cookie crumbles"? Excuse me? Wasn't the help given out quickly with "no strings attached" due to all the companies AND CNBC proclaiming financial armageddon if we didn't give immediate help to the Wall Street firms and there was no time to delay and look at details? Now you have the utter gall to blame the governemnt for acting swiftly with little restrictions- what the hell is wrong with you Melissa?!?

Pardon me if I as a taxpayer have an issue with misuse of MY MONEY. Just because the government didn't tie a ton of restrictions to the initial bailout money does NOT give them free reign to do as they please with it.It's irresponsible actions like doling out millions in bonuses when under heavy goverment aid that invite tighter restrictions meing imposed. If a company can't or won't govern themselves properly, then they lose the right of autonomy when taxpayer dollars are involved.

This is want sickens me about CNBC and Fox Business and other slimy financial news networks. They're quick to come to the defense of Corporate America, and label government intervention as evil, but remain strangely silent when it comes to looking out for the interests of the average citizen.

Where was your sense of indignation when AIG and similar firms caused the melt down Melissa? You kept your mouth shut then, so kindly keep it closed now.

Six Figure Salaries

3/07/2009 05:51:00 PM / Posted by Soullfire / comments (0)

Did you know that only five percent of Americans earn a six figure income or higher?

Here are some jobs that pay that level with what it takes to get them (credit to writer Clare Kaufman):

Pharmacist

Earnings (2007): $48.31/hour $100,480 salary

Health care workers are gaining earning power by the day, as an aging population boosts demand for qualified professionals. Pharmacists play a critical role in long-term care regimens, dispensing medications and advising patients about their use, possible side effects, and interactions with other drugs. Demand for pharmacists is expected to grow by twenty-two percent through 2016.

Needed: Doctor of Pharmacy degree.
The qualification, which has replaced the bachelor's degree in Pharmacy, is much more accessible than a medical or doctoral degree. It begins with the standard two-year undergraduate core curriculum, followed by four academic years (or three calendar years) of professional pharmacy career training. About a quarter of the Pharm.D. program is dedicated to hands-on training in a clinical setting.

Actuary (Management & Technical Consulting)

Earnings (2007): $51.48/hour $107,080 salary

In the wake of two major economic bubbles--the 2001 tech revolution and the 2008 mortgage crisis--better risk analysis suddenly looks like a good idea. The private sector is already putting renewed emphasis on calculating and hedging risk. Actuaries specialize in risk assessment, analyzing statistical data to calculate the probability of different outcomes and forecast risk. 

Job opportunities look strong through 2016, with 24 percent growth predicted across the industry. The Department of Labor indicates the most optimism for health care and consulting firm jobs, where demand and earnings are highest.

Needed: Bachelor degree in Math, Statistics, Corporate Finance, Economics, or Business

Marketing Manager

Earnings (2007): $54.52/hour $113,400 salary

While engineers and industrial designers develop a company's goods and services, marketing managers determine how to make money from these products. Marketing professionals develop pricing strategies, monitor market trends, and oversee the presentation of the product. They are, in effect, the liaison between the company's product or services and its customer base. As a marketing manager, expect to add management and leadership skills to your job description.

Needed: Masters in Business Administration


High School Principal

Earnings (2006): $44.70/hour $92,965 salary

K-12 education administrators enjoy the perks of a teaching career--helping students, summers off--without the "labor of love" salaries. In fact, the administrators at the pinnacle of their profession earn close to six figures. High school principals develop and coordinate the school's program, implementing a curriculum, monitoring students' progress, and managing the school's budget.

Needed: Masters degree in Education Administration (M.Ed). Administrators often start their careers as teachers and work their way up to a leadership role as they gain the necessary experience and credentials.

Petroleum Engineer

Earnings (2007): $54.75/hour $113,890

Engineers command the highest starting salary among bachelor's degree holders--and petroleum specialists rank at the upper end of the engineering salary spectrum. Demand for qualified petroleum engineers is expected to soar in coming years, as energy issues dominate the national agenda. Petroleum engineers create and optimize methods of extracting and processing oil and gas.

Needed: Bachelors degree in Engineering with a program specializing in energy or petroleum engineering curriculum.

These jobs all need degrees, but there are also 6 figure jobs that don't- while I'll create a future post on.